Strait of Hormuz Tracker 2026

Strait of Hormuz Tracker 2026_hormuzmonitor.com

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Strait of Hormuz Tracker — Live Shipping & Energy Crisis Monitor 2026
Live Crisis Monitor · Updated April 23, 2026

Strait of Hormuz
Tracker — 2026

The world’s most critical energy chokepoint has been closed to commercial shipping since February 28, 2026. Free, daily-updated data on oil prices, carrier suspensions, stranded vessels, bypass routes, and insurance markets.

Sources: AIS / MarineTraffic · Kpler · S&P Global · EIA · IEA · UKMTO · Carrier Advisories
! ALERT As of April 23, 2026, the Strait of Hormuz remains CLOSED to most commercial shipping. IRGC has formally prohibited transit for vessels trading with the US, Israel, and allied nations. Daily transits near zero vs normal ~60/day. Cumulative supply losses exceed 650 million barrels.
Days Closed 55+ Since Feb 28, 2026
Brent Crude $94–95 ↑ +31% vs pre-crisis $72
WTI Crude $95–96 ↑ +47% vs pre-crisis $65
Ships Stranded 150+ 20,000+ mariners trapped
Daily Transits ~0 Normal: ~60/day
Carriers Suspended 9/9 100% of major lines
War Risk Premium 0.8–1.5% ↑ 8–12× normal 0.125%
VLCC Transit Cost $2–3M ↑ from $125K pre-crisis
EU Gas (TTF) €43/MWh ↑ +43% vs €30 pre-crisis
US Gasoline $4.12/gal ↑ +38.7% vs $2.97
Pipeline Coverage 35% ~7M of 20M bbl/day
Daily Economic Cost $4B+ Direct trade impact est.

What Is the Strait of Hormuz Tracker?

The Strait of Hormuz tracker is a real-time monitoring system aggregating maritime data, energy prices, carrier advisories, and insurance market signals to give a comprehensive picture of transit activity through the world’s most critical oil chokepoint.

Under normal conditions, roughly 21% of the world’s seaborne oil — approximately 20 million barrels per day — passes through the Strait of Hormuz, along with 20% of global LNG trade. The strait is a narrow 33-kilometre waterway between Iran to the north and Oman and the UAE to the south.

Since February 28, 2026, the strait has been effectively closed following U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran. The IRGC formally declared transit prohibited for vessels trading with the United States, Israel, and allied nations — a declaration experts say violates UNCLOS transit passage rights.

This disruption is the largest to world energy supply since the 1970s energy crisis and the largest maritime trade disruption since World War II. Brent crude peaked at $126 per barrel — the largest monthly oil price increase in market history.

Energy Price Impact: Oil, Gas & Fuel

Brent crude surpassed $100 per barrel on March 8, 2026 — the first time in four years — reaching a peak of $126/bbl. The March 2026 price increase was the largest single-month move in the history of oil markets.

Why Hormuz spikes prices everywhere

Oil is priced on global commodity markets. When ~20% of supply is removed, the price equilibrium shifts for every buyer globally — even those who don’t import Gulf oil directly. The signal cascades: crude futures (hours) → refined products like diesel and jet fuel (days) → pump prices (weeks) → manufactured goods and food (months).

LNG: the tighter squeeze

LNG is more acutely affected than crude. The Strait of Hormuz carries ~20% of global LNG supply. Unlike crude, LNG cannot be piped around the strait and there are no strategic LNG stockpiles comparable to the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The last cargoes are now arriving at destinations with no replacement volumes. Diesel and jet fuel have at times exceeded $200/barrel in Asian spot markets.

Current energy price table

Commodity Current Pre-Crisis Change
Brent Crude~$94–95/bbl$72.00+31–35%
WTI Crude~$95–96/bbl$65.00+47%
Brent Peak (March 2026)$126/bbl$72.00+75%
EU Natural Gas (TTF)~€43/MWh€30.00+43%
U.S. Gasoline (retail)~$4.12/gal$2.97+38.7%
Asian diesel/jet (peak spot)>$200/bbl~$90/bbl+120%+

Carrier Status: All 9 Major Lines Suspended

Every major global container carrier has suspended Hormuz transits — the first time in modern maritime history that all major liner services simultaneously abandoned an entire region. Emergency surcharges of $1,500–$4,000 per TEU are active across lines. Over 45 vessels totalling hundreds of thousands of TEU remain trapped.

Maersk Suspended
14 vessels trapped (70K TEU). Emergency Freight Increase active. Bookings halted for UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi (Jubail), Iraq, Oman.
MSC Suspended
15 vessels trapped (109K TEU). Declared “End of Voyage” for all Gulf-bound cargo. Worldwide Middle East bookings suspended.
CMA CGM Suspended
1 vessel trapped. Emergency surcharge $4,000/40ft. Clause 10 (force majeure) activated. Full Cape of Good Hope reroute.
Hapag-Lloyd Suspended
6 vessels trapped (25K TEU). War Risk Surcharge $1,500/TEU. Conflict costing $40–50M/week in added costs.
COSCO Limited
5 vessels trapped. Two ships transited via Larak corridor (Mar 30). Most COSCO vessels still avoiding route. Far East–ME bookings partially reopened.
ONE Suspended
~147 ships (~470K TEU) trapped at peak. ONE Majesty still bound for Mundra. Cape of Good Hope reroute in effect.
HMM Suspended
All Gulf transits suspended. “Highly volatile security environment” advisory. Cape reroute expected for months.
Evergreen Suspended
All Hormuz transits suspended. Entire fleet rerouted via Cape of Good Hope.
PIL Suspended
4 vessels trapped. All Gulf services halted. Cape of Good Hope reroute in effect since March 18.

War Risk Insurance: The Real Commercial Blockade

The withdrawal of war risk insurance is one of the most consequential developments of the crisis. When P&I clubs — which insure the majority of the world’s commercial fleet for third-party liability — withdraw cover, ships lose the ability to enter most major ports worldwide. P&I cover is a requirement for port entry. This makes transit commercially impossible regardless of a carrier’s willingness to accept physical risk.

Premium escalation

Pre-crisis war risk premiums for Hormuz transits were approximately 0.125% of insured hull value per transit. Premiums have surged to 0.8–1.5%+ per transit — an 8–12× increase. For a VLCC (insured value in the hundreds of millions), this translates from ~$125,000 per passage to $2–3 million per passage.

P&I clubs that have cancelled cover

InsurerStatus
GardCancelled
SkuldCancelled
NorthStandardCancelled
London P&I ClubCancelled
American ClubCancelled
Steamship MutualCancelled

Bypass Pipelines: Can They Replace the Strait?

Total bypass pipeline capacity is approximately 7 million barrels per day against normal strait throughput of ~20 million bbl/day. The gap of ~13 million bbl/day cannot be rerouted through any existing infrastructure. There is no pipeline alternative for LNG whatsoever.

Saudi Petroline (East-West Pipeline) ~5M bbl/day
Active · Abqaiq → Yanbu (Red Sea) · Operational since 1981 · Effective throughput 2.5–3.5M bbl/day
UAE ADCOP Pipeline ~1.5M bbl/day
Active but disrupted · Habshan → Fujairah (Gulf of Oman) · Completed 2012 · Fujairah port operations impaired
Iraq-Turkey Pipeline (Kirkuk–Ceyhan) ~0.5M bbl/day
Intermittent · Kirkuk → Ceyhan Mediterranean · Built 1970 · Reduced by maintenance issues
Total Gap (Cannot Be Rerouted) ~13M bbl/day
65% of normal strait flow has no alternative infrastructure · Zero LNG pipeline alternatives exist

Alternative Shipping Routes & Rerouting Costs

With the Suez Canal also effectively off-limits for Gulf trade (Red Sea remains elevated risk from Houthi operations), the Cape of Good Hope around South Africa is the default for all major carriers.

Cape of Good Hope impact

FactorImpact
Extra transit days+10–14 days (Asia–Europe)
Extra fuel cost per voyage~$1.5–2M per large vessel
Additional nautical miles~6,000–7,000 nm
Effective fleet capacity reduction~15–25% (ships slower to reload)
Tanker spot rate change~3× pre-crisis rates (Gulf–Asia)
Emergency surcharges active$1,500–$4,000/TEU

Global Trade Impact: Who Is Most Affected?

The economic cost of the closure exceeds $4 billion per day in direct trade impact, excluding secondary manufacturing, consumption, and financial market effects. Cumulative supply losses have reached approximately 650 million barrels by late April 2026.

Most critically affected nations

CountryExposureRisk Level
Japan~70% of Middle East oil via Hormuz; 95% crude from Gulf statesCritical
South KoreaHeavy Gulf crude dependency; semiconductor/petrochemical supply chainCritical
IndiaMajor Gulf crude importer; thin inventory buffersHigh
ChinaSubstantial Gulf crude volumes; COSCO special corridor negotiatedHigh
European UnionLNG supply shock; competing with Asia for non-Gulf alternativesHigh
PakistanFormal request to Saudi Arabia for Yanbu rerouting; domestic rationingHigh
United StatesStrategic Petroleum Reserve releases active; net oil exporter bufferModerate

Beyond oil and gas

Aluminum: Gulf smelters supply a significant share of global aluminum. Energy costs and logistics disruptions are affecting output and pricing. Fertilizers: Qatar is a major exporter of nitrogen fertilizers (ammonia, urea) that transit Hormuz — threatening agricultural input markets globally. Helium: Qatar supplies ~30% of global helium used in semiconductors, MRI machines, and aerospace — no short-term alternative source exists.

2026 Hormuz Crisis Timeline

2025 — Background
Tensions escalate after failed nuclear negotiations in Geneva and a 12-day air conflict. Iran signals potential Hormuz disruption as deterrent. War risk premiums begin to creep upward.
Feb 15–20, 2026
Iran raises oil exports to 3× normal rate, reducing storage to limit strike risk. Saudi Arabia does similar. War risk premiums move from 0.125% to 0.2–0.4% per transit.
Feb 28, 2026 — Day 1
Strait effectively closed. IRGC warnings and initial merchant vessel attacks prompt carrier suspensions. AIS traffic drops sharply. 150+ vessels begin anchoring in Gulf waiting areas.
Mar 8, 2026
Brent crude passes $100/barrel for the first time since 2022. Oil markets record largest monthly price increase in history.
Mar 18–19, 2026
All 9 major carriers — Maersk, MSC, CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, ONE, HMM, Evergreen, PIL, COSCO — issue formal suspension announcements within 24 hours.
Mar 26, 2026
Israeli Defence Minister Katz announces IRGC Navy commander Alireza Tangsiri killed in airstrike, identifying him as responsible for the closure.
Mar 27, 2026
IRGC formally declares strait closed to any vessel trading with the US, Israel, or allied nations. Container ship Mayuree Naree runs aground on Qeshm Island. Three ships turned away by IRGC.
Mar 30, 2026
COSCO ships CSCL Indian Ocean and CSCL Arctic Ocean successfully transit via Larak Island corridor — one of the few documented commercial transits since closure.
Mar 31, 2026
Kuwaiti VLCC Al Salmi struck by Iranian drone while anchored in Dubai, causing fire. Kuwait Petroleum Corporation warns of oil spill risk.
Apr 13, 2026
U.S. imposes secondary counter-blockade, cutting off Iranian crude exports. Adds ~1.3M bbl/day of additional supply outage on top of transit disruptions already in effect.
Apr 23, 2026 — Today
Day 55+. Cumulative supply losses ~650M barrels. Daily outage exceeds 13M bbl/day. Diplomatic talks continue with no resolution. Analysts warn worst of crisis may lie ahead as inventory buffers near exhaustion.

How This Compares: The Biggest Energy Disruptions Ever

The 2026 Hormuz closure is unprecedented in the era of globalized energy markets. Unlike prior disruptions, it is a total blockade affecting both oil and LNG simultaneously, with an insurance withdrawal that makes re-entry near-impossible even for risk-tolerant operators.

Disruption Year Duration Peak oil spike Trade impact
Hormuz Closure (2026) 2026 Day 55+ ongoing +75–80% (peak $126) ~21% global oil blocked
OPEC Embargo 1973–74 5 months +300% ~7.5% supply reduced
Iran–Iraq Tanker War 1984–88 4 years +15–25% ~2% of Gulf tankers damaged
Gulf War (Kuwait) 1990–91 7 months +130% ~4.6M bbl/day offline
Suez Canal Blockage 2021 6 days +4% 12% global trade delayed
Red Sea Crisis (Houthi) 2024–25 ~14 months +5–8% ~15% shipping rerouted

Strait of Hormuz FAQ

What is the Strait of Hormuz?
A narrow 33-kilometre maritime chokepoint between Iran to the north and Oman and the UAE to the south. It connects the Persian Gulf — home to the world’s largest oil-producing nations — to the Arabian Sea. Under normal conditions, ~21% of global seaborne oil and ~20% of global LNG passes through daily. No single passage carries a comparable share of global energy supply.
Is the Strait of Hormuz open or closed today?
As of April 23, 2026 (Day 55+), the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed to most commercial shipping. The IRGC has formally prohibited transit for vessels trading with the US, Israel, and allied nations. Daily transits are near zero — vs a normal ~60 per day. A selective corridor exists for some flag states, but transit is commercially unviable for the vast majority of operators due to physical threat, insurance withdrawal, and carrier suspensions.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz normally?
Approximately 60 commercial vessels transit per day under normal conditions — oil tankers, LNG carriers, container ships, and bulk carriers. At the peak of the 2026 disruption this fell to near-zero measurable transits, with over 150 vessels anchored in Gulf waiting areas unable to exit.
Why does a Hormuz closure affect gas prices in my country?
Oil is priced on global commodity markets. When ~20% of supply is removed, the equilibrium price rises everywhere — even for countries that don’t import Gulf oil directly. The effect cascades: crude futures (hours) → refined products (days–weeks) → pump prices (weeks) → goods and services (months).
What do AIS trackers show for the strait right now?
AIS data is severely degraded. Many vessels have disabled their transponders in the risk zone, and military signal interference degrades accuracy further. AIS-based ship counts are lower bounds — the true number in the region is higher than AIS shows; the number of transits is likely as low or lower than AIS suggests.
What bypass routes exist if Hormuz is closed?
The main pipeline bypasses are the Saudi Petroline (~5M bbl/day to Yanbu on the Red Sea) and the UAE ADCOP pipeline (~1.5M bbl/day to Fujairah). Together these cover only ~35% of normal strait throughput. There is zero pipeline alternative for LNG. Ships reroute via the Cape of Good Hope — adding 10–14 extra transit days and ~$1.5–2M in additional fuel per voyage.
Can Iran legally close the Strait of Hormuz?
No. The closure breaches the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), specifically Article 38 governing transit passage through international straits, which cannot be suspended. Iran has not ratified UNCLOS but is bound by its customary international law provisions. The closure has been widely condemned by maritime law experts and international organisations.
How long could the crisis last?
The Atlantic Council warns that if outages persist through May 2026 and beyond, the world faces a sustained supply crisis potentially exceeding the severity of the 1973 energy shock. The physical damage (mines, damaged vessels) and insurance market withdrawal mean that even following a ceasefire, full resumption of normal transit could take weeks to months.

How to Track the Strait of Hormuz

A high-quality Strait of Hormuz tracker synthesises data from: AIS maritime platforms (MarineTraffic, VesselFinder, Kpler) for vessel movement; energy price feeds (ICE/Brent, NYMEX/WTI, TTF gas, JKM LNG); carrier advisories (Maersk Alerts, MSC Advisories, CMA CGM updates, Hapag-Lloyd notices); insurance signals (Lloyd’s JWC Listed Areas, Gard/Skuld circulars, International Group of P&I Clubs); and government sources (UKMTO incident reports, MARAD advisories, EIA weekly petroleum reports, IEA Monthly Oil Market Report).

AIS counts are always lower bounds — vessels disable transponders in conflict zones. Any tracker that doesn’t note this caveat is incomplete. Combine AIS with satellite imagery, carrier self-reports, and government advisories for the fullest picture.

Primary data sources for this tracker

Carrier websites (Maersk, MSC, CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, COSCO, ONE, HMM, Evergreen, PIL) · MarineTraffic · Kpler · S&P Global Market Intelligence · UKMTO · EIA · IEA · Clarksons Research · Reuters · Bloomberg · Atlantic Council · Wikipedia (2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis article) · oilpriceapi.com

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